ArakIce: NHL predictions from a machine learning model
ArakIce (arakice.com) is an NHL predictions and betting analytics app. Its machine learning model, arakiceML, produces win probabilities, projected totals and player prop projections (shots, points, goaltender saves) for every NHL game, then compares them to sportsbook odds (DraftKings) to show where the market may be mispriced. It is an analytics tool, not a tipster service: every pick shows the factors behind it, and no profit is promised. Available in English and French.
Tonight's NHL games (2026-11-14)
- Colorado Avalanche vs Montréal Canadiens prediction: arakiceML gives the Colorado Avalanche a 56% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 44% for the Montréal Canadiens.
- New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals prediction: arakiceML sees this game as a coin flip: 50% for the New Jersey Devils, 50% for the Washington Capitals, overtime and shootout included.
- Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings prediction: arakiceML gives the Los Angeles Kings a 67% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 33% for the Calgary Flames.
- Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction: arakiceML gives the Columbus Blue Jackets a 69% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 31% for the Philadelphia Flyers.
- New York Islanders vs Anaheim Ducks prediction: arakiceML gives the Anaheim Ducks a 53% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 47% for the New York Islanders.
- Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction: arakiceML gives the Winnipeg Jets a 58% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 42% for the Chicago Blackhawks.
- Seattle Kraken vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction
- Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction: arakiceML gives the Edmonton Oilers a 59% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 41% for the Toronto Maple Leafs.
- Florida Panthers vs St. Louis Blues prediction: arakiceML gives the Florida Panthers a 52% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 48% for the St.
- Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction: arakiceML gives the Tampa Bay Lightning a 69% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 31% for the Detroit Red Wings.
- Buffalo Sabres vs Dallas Stars prediction: arakiceML gives the Dallas Stars a 56% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 44% for the Buffalo Sabres.
- Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction: arakiceML gives the Ottawa Senators a 55% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 45% for the Pittsburgh Penguins.
- San Jose Sharks vs Utah Mammoth prediction: arakiceML gives the Utah Mammoth a 69% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 31% for the San Jose Sharks.
- Minnesota Wild vs Boston Bruins prediction: arakiceML sees this game as a coin flip: 50% for the Minnesota Wild, 50% for the Boston Bruins, overtime and shootout included.
Key facts
- Covers every NHL regular-season and playoff game: moneyline, puck line, totals, period markets and player props.
- Model inputs: expected goals and shot quality, rest and back-to-backs, travel and time zones, injuries, starting goaltender, referee penalty tendencies.
- Judged on out-of-sample calibration (do 60% calls happen ~60% of the time), not win streaks. Out-of-sample test, 4,304 games (Feb 26, 2023 to Apr 16, 2026): 59.5% of winners picked (home-team baseline 54.0%), average calibration gap 2.1 percentage points.
- Free tier plus a Pro subscription (including value-bet alerts).
- Public, timestamped track record: every morning's pre-game probabilities are committed to https://github.com/ireinahedad/arakice-nhl-predictions before puck drop, so results can be checked independently.
- Built independently by Ireina Hedad, a software engineer specialized in AI (Polytechnique Montréal).
- Not affiliated with the NHL or any sportsbook. For adults of legal gambling age only.
Every morning's pre-game probabilities are committed to a public GitHub repository before puck drop: arakice-nhl-predictions.
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