Preview · 10:00 p.m. ET · Honda Center
New York Islanders vs Anaheim Ducks — Saturday, November 14, 2026
Who will win Islanders vs Ducks?
arakiceML gives the Anaheim Ducks a 53% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 47% for the New York Islanders. Chance the Anaheim Ducks win by two goals or more (−1.5 puck line): 32%.
Recorded at 1:50 p.m. ET, before puck drop, and published in ArakIce's public prediction record. See the timestamped file. Starting goalies were not confirmed yet at that time, so the model assumed each team's usual starter.
This is a probability, not a lock: a 60% favourite is expected to lose four games out of ten.
What is true about this game today
New York Islanders come in on 2 days of rest. New York Islanders are 3 games into a road trip. Anaheim Ducks come in on 3 days of rest. Anaheim Ducks are 3 games into a homestand. New York Islanders are 4-3-2 on the road, Anaheim Ducks 3-5-1 at home.
The recent history between these two
Their last 10 meetings, going back to 2022. New York Islanders lead 7 to 3, at 6.40 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Ducks 5, Islanders 1 | ANA | 6 |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Islanders 5, Ducks 2 | NYI | 7 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Ducks 4, Islanders 1 | ANA | 5 |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Ducks 3, Islanders 1 | NYI | 4 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Islanders 6, Ducks 1 | ANA | 7 |
| Dec 13, 2023 | Islanders 4, Ducks 3 | NYI | 7 |
| Mar 15, 2023 | Islanders 6, Ducks 3 | ANA | 9 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Islanders 7, Ducks 1 | NYI | 8 |
Edges and player props for this game
The win probability is free on this page. In the app, ArakIce compares it to the sportsbook line, flags where the value is, and projects props for every player in this game.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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