Preview · 8:00 p.m. ET · American Airlines Center
Buffalo Sabres vs Dallas Stars — Saturday, November 14, 2026
Who will win Sabres vs Stars?
arakiceML gives the Dallas Stars a 56% chance to win this game, overtime and shootout included, against 44% for the Buffalo Sabres. Chance the Dallas Stars win by two goals or more (−1.5 puck line): 35%.
Recorded at 1:50 p.m. ET, before puck drop, and published in ArakIce's public prediction record. See the timestamped file. Starting goalies were not confirmed yet at that time, so the model assumed each team's usual starter.
This is a probability, not a lock: a 60% favourite is expected to lose four games out of ten.
What is true about this game today
Buffalo Sabres come in on 2 days of rest. Dallas Stars come in on 2 days of rest. Dallas Stars are 3 games into a homestand. Buffalo Sabres are 4-1-4 on the road, Dallas Stars 6-5-0 at home.
The recent history between these two
Their last 10 meetings, going back to 2022. Dallas Stars lead 7 to 3, at 6.60 goals a game.
| Date | Result | Host | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Stars 4, Sabres 3 (OT) | BUF | 7 |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Sabres 4, Stars 1 | DAL | 5 |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Stars 4, Sabres 2 | DAL | 6 |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Sabres 4, Stars 2 | BUF | 6 |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Stars 3, Sabres 2 | DAL | 5 |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Stars 2, Sabres 1 | BUF | 3 |
| Mar 9, 2023 | Stars 10, Sabres 4 | BUF | 14 |
| Jan 23, 2023 | Sabres 3, Stars 2 (OT) | DAL | 5 |
Edges and player props for this game
The win probability is free on this page. In the app, ArakIce compares it to the sportsbook line, flags where the value is, and projects props for every player in this game.
Open ArakIceWhat the model weighs here
The projection starts from expected goals, meaning the quality of chances each club creates and gives up, which holds up better than goals scored. It then adjusts for what is only true of this game: who is confirmed in net, rest and travel, whether either club is on the second night of a back to back, and the referee crew where it moves the total.
Schedule, standings and results from the NHL public API. Head to head history from ArakIce's own game database.
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