Dallas Stars ยท left wing
Jason Robertson Prop Predictions
Jason Robertson has gone over 2.5 shots on goal in 13 of 17 games (76%) this season, recorded a point in 11 of 17 games (65%) and scored in 6 of 17 games (35%). Over his last 10 games he is averaging 3.6 shots, up from 3.2 on the season.
Jason Robertson's season at a glance
How often Jason Robertson clears common prop lines
| Prop | Line | Over | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 15 of 17 | 88% |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 13 of 17 | 76% |
| Shots on goal | 3.5 | 6 of 17 | 35% |
| Points | 0.5 | 11 of 17 | 65% |
| Points | 1.5 | 6 of 17 | 35% |
| Goals | 0.5 | 6 of 17 | 35% |
All 17 games this regular season. A hit rate is history, not a projection: it ignores the opponent, rest and goaltending, which is what the model adds.
Splits
| Shots per game, season | 3.2 |
| Shots per game, last 10 | 3.6 |
| Shots per game at home | 2.9 |
| Shots per game on the road | 3.7 |
| Ice time per game | 19:37 |
Last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | G | A | P | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs SJS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17:40 |
| Nov 5 | @ CBJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:30 |
| Nov 3 | @ WSH | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 17:05 |
| Oct 31 | vs CBJ | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16:38 |
| Oct 29 | vs MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:32 |
How arakiceML projects Jason Robertson's props
arakiceML starts from Jason Robertson's ice time and shot rate, then adjusts for the specific game: the opponent's shot suppression, pace, rest and back-to-backs, and the goaltender on the other side. Shots are the more stable prop; points swing more with linemates and finishing luck, so their projection carries more uncertainty.
Jason Robertson's projection tonight
When Jason Robertson plays, ArakIce shows the model's projection for his shots and points and the gap against the posted line, updated through the day.
Open ArakIceSeason and game-log data from the NHL public API, as of Nov 9, 2026.
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