Dallas Stars ยท defenseman
Thomas Harley Prop Predictions
Thomas Harley has gone over 2.5 shots on goal in 5 of 17 games (29%) this season, recorded a point in 8 of 17 games (47%) and scored in 2 of 17 games (12%). Over his last 10 games he is averaging 2.1 shots, in line with his season rate.
Thomas Harley's season at a glance
How often Thomas Harley clears common prop lines
| Prop | Line | Over | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 9 of 17 | 53% |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 5 of 17 | 29% |
| Shots on goal | 3.5 | 2 of 17 | 12% |
| Points | 0.5 | 8 of 17 | 47% |
| Points | 1.5 | 2 of 17 | 12% |
| Goals | 0.5 | 2 of 17 | 12% |
All 17 games this regular season. A hit rate is history, not a projection: it ignores the opponent, rest and goaltending, which is what the model adds.
Splits
| Shots per game, season | 2.0 |
| Shots per game, last 10 | 2.1 |
| Shots per game at home | 1.5 |
| Shots per game on the road | 2.7 |
| Ice time per game | 24:57 |
Last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | G | A | P | SOG | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs SJS | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 24:13 |
| Nov 5 | @ CBJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28:31 |
| Nov 3 | @ WSH | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24:43 |
| Oct 31 | vs CBJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22:49 |
| Oct 29 | vs MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:53 |
How arakiceML projects Thomas Harley's props
arakiceML starts from Thomas Harley's ice time and shot rate, then adjusts for the specific game: the opponent's shot suppression, pace, rest and back-to-backs, and the goaltender on the other side. Shots are the more stable prop; points swing more with linemates and finishing luck, so their projection carries more uncertainty.
Thomas Harley's projection tonight
When Thomas Harley plays, ArakIce shows the model's projection for his shots and points and the gap against the posted line, updated through the day.
Open ArakIceSeason and game-log data from the NHL public API, as of Nov 9, 2026.
ArakIce provides statistical analysis and predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing here is financial advice or a guarantee of results. Betting involves risk and you should never wager more than you can afford to lose. Must be of legal gambling age in your jurisdiction. If gambling stops being fun, help is available. In the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. In Ontario, call ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600.